Hormuz Latest, Trump Rallies Amid Sinking Approval, Tariff Refunds

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What recent actions has Iran taken regarding the Strait of Hormuz?

Melissa Nadworny 0:02
Iran says it's clamping down again on the Strait of Hormuz.
Scott Simon 0:05
Putting the temporary reprieve of the ceasefire at risk.
Melissa Nadworny 0:09
So how temporary is that reprieve? And that's the question of the weekend. I'm Melissa Nadworny.
Scott Simon 0:14
And I'm Scott Simon. And this is Up First from NPR News.
Melissa Nadworny 0:21
The deal to pause fighting was holding. Now it joins the same shaky ground as the ceasefire in Lebanon. We dig in on both.
Scott Simon 0:28
Then we'll take you to a huge church in Arizona as President Trump rallies supporters as general support erodes.
Melissa Nadworny 0:36
And Monday is refund day, but not for IRS 1040 filers.
Scott Simon 0:40
Though tariffs are a tax, we'll explain. So please stay with us. We've got the news you need to start your weekend.

How is the ceasefire in the Middle East affecting regional stability?

Brittany Luce 0:56
This year, for the first time in NPR's history, public media is operating without federal funding. That means NPR needs your support now more than ever. I'm Brittany Luce from It's Been a Minute. Please do your part to keep independent, reliable news coverage strong and support the podcasts that get you through the day by making a gift for public media giving days. Head over to donate.npr.org.
Melissa Nadworny 1:21
First, a look at those ceasefires in the Middle East. Washington and Beirut have announced a 10-day ceasefire in the fight between Israel and the militant group Hezbollah. And the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is set to end next week.
Scott Simon 1:36
But overnight, Iran reimposed restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz, putting new pressure on President Trump. NPR's Quill Lawrence joins us. Quill, thanks for being with us. Good morning, Scott. Let's begin with the Strait.
Quill Lawrence 1:47
Yeah, it's been a real whiplash.

What was the significance of President Trump's rally in Arizona?

Quill Lawrence 1:49
Yesterday, with the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Iran announced it would open the Strait to commercial traffic for the duration of that ceasefire, but only along this prescribed route close to the Iranian coast. But then the U.S. said it would maintain its blockade of Iranian ports while those peace talks continue. So perhaps in response today, Iran's military said, no, the strait remains closed until the U.S. lifts its blockade of Iran. So it's been a confusing, what, 24 hours with a lot of questions left about is the strait reclosed or never really open to shipping. And so where does that put the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran?
Yeah.
Quill Lawrence 2:31
Well, officially, it's set to expire on Tuesday, April 21st. There's talk of extending that deadline. One source on Capitol Hill, who's not authorized to speak publicly, told NPR that he's hearing at least the Pakistanis who are hosting these talks want to extend them. President Trump has said that a deal with Iran is very close. And yesterday he told reporters, quote, I think it's going to happen.
Scott Simon 2:54
As you say, Pakistan's mediating the talks.

How are Trump's approval ratings impacting his campaign strategy?

Scott Simon 2:58
Vice President Vance was in Islamabad last weekend, but did not seemingly make much progress. So what's the next step?
Quill Lawrence 3:04
The next step could be direct talks between the U.S. and Iran, most likely there in Pakistan. And President Trump told reporters that if there's a deal, he might even go there and show up in person. But of course, that was before the news that Iran closed the strait. At this point, the deal is seems probably to hinge on a pause in Iran's nuclear enrichment program. The administration wants a 20-year pause while Iran is talking about a five-year pause, so there'll be some haggling over that timeline. We spoke to one analyst who said, yes, of course, a deal is better than war, but without any details, it's hard to say. For example, will there be international inspectors who will go in to see if Iran is just maintaining a peaceful nuclear infrastructure, not a weapons program?
Quill Lawrence 3:50
Will the U.S. unfreeze billions of dollars in frozen Iranian assets? Those were all factors in a deal forged during the Obama administration that President Trump scrapped in his first term. He called it a bad deal.

What are the upcoming changes regarding tariff refunds?

Quill Lawrence 4:03
The unfreezing of these assets is something the Iranians apparently are insisting on this time. But we don't know to what extent President Trump will essentially rebuild the JCPOA. That was the deal that was hammered out into the Obama administration.
Scott Simon 4:17
And give us more details, please, on the deal in Lebanon.

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