Ray Kurzweil

Ray, you're 86%.

prediction accuracy, which if you go to Wikipedia and Google it and look at it, you can see this within, I think, a year, two years at the outmost.

How did you do that?

What methodology were you using for your predictive efforts?

Was it just curves and exponentials?

Well, this is...

predictions from the late 1980s to 2009 and the day after 2009.

And if it was right on the money, it was correct.

If it was a year or more off, it was incorrect.

So, for example,

being able to drive cars where you're not in the driver's seat, that was incorrect.

That's happening now, but it was not right on the dot.

You're pretty strict on yourself there.

Ray, I got a question.

They were relying on progress, not following this paradigm.

And they would fall if the paradigm didn't stay in that old paradigm.

which is what happened.

You know, we talk about on this Moonshots podcast the fact that we're in the singularity now, that we're living through the singularity.

And I'm curious what you think about that, rather than the singularity being something in the 2040s, that it's a continuous process that we're in the midst of.

What's your reaction to that?