Ray Kurzweil

Well, it's exponential growth.

I mean, we've actually had exponential growth since 1939.

on this and if actually if you look at it uh there's ways in which it's it goes back even further well you talk about the law of excelling returns taking us back to early life yeah yeah um what's the question so the question was are we living in the singularity now is it fair to say that singularity continuous function going uh forward

I mean, we're being really affected by the exponential growth.

A year ago, large language models were OK.

Now they're really very effective.

That's the exponential growth of one year.

And we're really going to be able to feel that in the future.

Things in which large language models still can't quite do, they'll do in a year or two years from now.

So the exponential growth is what we're feeling.

Exponential growth, like in the 1400s, was there, but the amount of progress you'd make in one decade versus another decade was so subtle that you would miss it.

and you basically figured your grandchildren would live the same life that you did, which they largely did, but there were subtle differences.

But you get to the current period, you can really see that much more vigorously.

Ray, are you more optimistic about the world today than 20 years ago, or are you less, or are you the same?

I'm more, except it's going to make changes that people are not aware of, not predicting.

Like people are starting to say, well, gee, should I go to college?

I mean, I can learn a lot more from my large language model than going to college.

People are starting to say that, but very few people are doing that.

But that's going to become more and more prevalent.

While we've got you, do you have any advice for the university here?