Ray Kurzweil
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Now, already the AGI is
significantly greater than humans.
Like yesterday, I gave it a book to read, to summarize it, to answer a question.
It did that in 40 seconds.
Now humans can't do that in 40 seconds.
Already it's 100 times faster, but not a million times.
But AGI will happen by 2029.
And I also figured that
People would have slightly different definitions of AGI.
So there'd be a three-year period where people would predict AGI is here.
And that would start three years earlier, like 2026.
And indeed, we're having people predicting AGI is here already.
going through 2029, when we really will be very confident that AGI is here.
So that was my prediction back in 1999, actually.
Yeah.
The thing that really blows my mind about those predictions, aside from AGI being pretty much right on the number predicted, what, 25, 30 years in advance?
In 1999.
In 1999 to, I guess, 2029.
Yeah, so 30 years in advance.
right on the number.