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Ray Kurzweil

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
955 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

It's just nutty.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

But a lot of those predictions are based on compute and the availability of compute and Moore's law continuing.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

And then somewhere in there, carbon nanotubes or some future compute substrate needs to exist.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

But what we've done instead is just hammer the transistor on silicon to death and stretch it into massive data centers and stay right on your curve.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

Yeah.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

Well, if I can show my curve.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

Yeah, sure.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

Can we go ahead to the end of the, yeah.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

No, not this one.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

Let me back up a second.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

So we got, here we go, this one here.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

Yeah.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

I mean, in 1939, we were actually increasing relay-based computers.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

And the exponential growth of relay-based computers is the same as it is today.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

And NVIDIA and other people are not looking back and say, well, we want to match the exponential growth of relay-based 70 years ago.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

But they are.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

The exponential growth has been pretty much the same.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

This is basically a straight line.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

And this is an increase of 75 quad trillion.

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

So it's 75,000 trillion fold increase in the hardware.