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Richard Clarida

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
440 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

The timing of that is uncertain.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

Whether or not it happens in time for the June meeting is too soon to tell.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

But we do think eventually that it will get resolved.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

Well, right now it doesn't appear to be either in the data.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

And I think there are as many opinions on this as there are people that you talk to.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

Myself, I am skeptical that in the next year or so we're going to see a dramatic change in the labor market because of AI.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

The models are impressive, but

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

The analogy I like to use is even their developers admit that they hallucinate.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

Hallucination is a feature, not a bug.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

And I don't know about you at Bloomberg, but I can tell you at PIMCO, we don't hire a lot of employees who say part of my job description is I'm going to hallucinate.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

And so I think until they figure that out,

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

it may not have as much an effect on the labor market as people think.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

What was it called?

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

Reverse Polish notation.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

Reverse Polish notation.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

I think we're going to deal with it.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

And remember that near term, in order to get the nirvana of AI benefits, there has to be a lot of capital spending, data centers, power generation.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

And so the interesting thing about AI right now is that it's really a driver of a lot of the old traditional bricks and mortar economy.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

Well, I think it's important.

Bloomberg Talks
Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO & Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida Talks Geopolitical Risk and the Fed

I think Jay Powell recognizes that, you know, the first sentence and eventually whenever his New York Times obituary is written is he wants to make sure that it says something along the lines as Chair Powell report, restore price stability and maintain the Fed's independence.