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Richard Thaler

👤 Speaker
846 total appearances
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3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

You paid for it.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

Going to the concert doesn't get that money back.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

That's gone.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

It's sunk.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

But people have a lot of trouble with that.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

So let sunk costs sink, is my advice.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

The ultimatum game.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

The ultimatum game was devised to try to illustrate how people feel about fairness.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

And here's the way it works.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

You and I get to play this game.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

I get $100, and I'm told I have to share it with Lynn.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

I make you an offer of some share of the $100.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

Say I have $101 bills, so I can give you some number of those.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

And you get to say yes or no.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

And if you say yes, you get what I offered you and I get the rest.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

If you say no, we both get nothing.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

Now, what does economic theory say will happen?

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

Well, I'm an economist, so I assume that you think more money is better than less money.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

One dollar is more than zero.

3 Takeaways™
The Winner’s Curse: Why “Winning” Often Means You Just Lost with Nobel Laureate Richard Thaler (#288)

So if I offer Lynn a dollar, I mean, one is better than zero.