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Robert Armstrong

πŸ‘€ Speaker
732 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

your high-yield bond part of your portfolio and institution.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Maybe the private credit guy offers you 10, let's say.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

I'm just kind of picking those up.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

But you get a little edge there.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And that is called reaping an illiquidity premium.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

In the bond market, you can trade in and out all the time.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

You go to private credit.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

In theory, you get a couple more percentage points of yield, but you're locked into this fund for five years.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And everybody likes this.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Extra yield, everybody loves it.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

That's for the borrowers.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

For the borrowers.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Borrowers like it because they don't want to.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

There's another very important point, which is going to come up in this conversation, which I think I should mention.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Which is that the value of the funds that have these private loans in them are not marked to market every day.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Yes.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Right?

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

They're marked every quarter or so or however, but very infrequently.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And one of the things institutional investors love about this is that just because of the way the math worksβ€”

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

This means that the returns from private credit look uncorrelated to public markets.