Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Robert Armstrong

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
732 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And without boring you with the mathematics of portfolio construction, it's better to have an uncorrelated portfolio.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

The returns from different things in your portfolio are

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

moving in different directions makes the whole thing, the return for the level of risk superior in an uncorrelated portfolio.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Now, it may not really be uncorrelated.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

The appearance of uncorrelation is created by the fact that the thing isn't marked to market every day, like your bond, your junk bond portfolio, your equity portfolio or whatever else.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

But that's a very important feature of why people like this product so much.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

There's a lot there.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

If you could speak to all of it.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

You've given us a lot to think about.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Let me complicate it even further.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

The point, there is two issues there.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

One of them is with private credit that you need to try to keep separate.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

One of the issues is lack of transparency.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

How much do we know about the performance of the underlying loans?

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And how much do we know about what they are worth when they are not mark to market every day?

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And, you know, you might have greater or lesser transparency depending on the product.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Liquidity is a separate issue, right?

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

But the two kind of converge, right?

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Because when people get nervous, rightly or wrongly,

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

You know, maybe this AI thing is really worth worrying about, but maybe it's not.