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Robert Brokamp

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1796 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

In other words, the market has been profitable or lost less than 10% in almost 88% of calendar years.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

There are four decades that didn't see any years of 10% plus declines, those being the 1960s, 1980s, 1990s, and the 2010s.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

How much does that history matter?

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

We at The Motley Fool believe that the stock market is the best path to long-term wealth, and we have the historical data to back it up.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

But how much does history matter in our ever-changing world and what past trends are likely to persist?

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

Here to talk about that and much more is Ryan Dietrich, the chief market strategist at Carson Group, the co-host of the Facts vs. Feelings podcast, and one of my favorite sources of insightful or just fun stats about the market.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

Ryan, welcome to Motley Fool Money.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

Thank you for those kind words, and it's great to have you here.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

In your podcasts, your articles, your social media posts, you provide just a regular stream of facts about historical trends.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

With much of that data going back to 1950s, sometimes as far back as the 1920s, what do you say to someone who says, things are different today?

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

Way back then, they didn't have the internet, they didn't have low-cost index funds, commission-free trading apps in our pockets.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

We've transitioned from an industrial to a services economy.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

How much does history matter?

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

A lot of what you do in your writing is to say, okay, this is a current set of circumstances.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

And based on history, this is the likelihood that the market will go up.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

Here's the median and average return.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

How do you distinguish between trends that are valid versus a spurious correlation, which is borrowing from the title of one of your recent articles?

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

By the way, the median return, almost 15%.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

Very good news.

Motley Fool Money
What Matters About Market History, and the Worldwide Bull Market

As you just hinted at there, you cover a lot of ground in your articles, podcasts, on social media, macro, some fundamental, even some technical analysis.