Robert Pape
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Now, within the region, and I said this in print and on your show, what this is going to mean is that Iran, as it gets powerful and as America loses control here, and everybody sees that, this is going to fragment the GCC country's
They're not going to all respond in a wave or in unison to these changes.
What you're going to see is each of them increasingly is going to act on their own.
Think of them as friends.
They were part of a group and they had group interests.
Well, now that America's not there to serve as a real anchor and it's now all clear for everyone to see America's just lost control, not losing, but lost control, it's no surprise they're fragmenting.
Earlier, a few weeks ago, Iraq started to move toward positions of Iran and started to become increasingly critical of American presence in Iraq.
This was the beginning of this fragmentation.
Now what you're seeing is the UAE...
They're not moving toward Iran.
That's not what they're doing because they're pretty terrified Iran's going to want to topple their government.
What they're doing is they're fragmenting.
They're not going to let OPEC or Saudi Arabia, who really is the main driver in OPEC, just run them into the ground.
So that's why they are moving away.
And what they're doing is moving away from a concerted, counterbalancing coalition that
that the United States has been trying to build for years now with the Abraham Accords counterbalancing Iran.
Well, this is all now just fragmenting.
It's falling apart, and you're only seeing the beginning of the fragmentation.
This is likely going to get worse, and America can't stop it.
Notice nobody's even bothering to consult President Trump here to say, well, do you think you could change the UAE's mind?