Robert Pape
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In about 20 years, it'll be 49%.
And what has been one of the big reasons for this is, of course, immigration.
So no surprise that as we are now in what I call the tipping point generation for transitioning from the white majority to the white minority democracy, the 20 year period where that's going to happen.
Immigration is probably the number one lightning rod issue in America today.
And that's true on both the right and the left.
And let me just explain on the right.
When you have this major social change, you're going to see essentially the established group wanting to stop or reverse that change.
Because as that change happens, they will lose political power.
That will mean declining economic prospects.
That will have lots of impact going forward for generations.
Now, on the other side, lots of the new group very much wants to keep this change going.
They're, in fact, going to benefit from this change.
And they want, if anything, not to stop it, but to accelerate it.
So you have the lightning rod issue of demographic change directly fueling the support for political violence.
And you see this in our surveys.
Side by side with the demographic shift is a shift of wealth to the top 1%, which starts in the mid-1980s.
It doesn't matter which party is in power.
Wealth is being shifted from the bottom 90% to the top 1%.
So if you're in the 91st to 99th percent, you don't see much of a change.