Rory Stewart
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
He is adamant that most of the information flow that goes to Trump about Iran comes from Netanyahu.
And he's convinced Trump that one, that Iran is a lot weaker than it was, which is true.
It is weaker than it was on the nuclear front.
It's weaker economically.
And it's just had the biggest demonstrations, probably the biggest demonstrations that we've seen in recent memory.
and has persuaded him that a few big hits and a few big threats and Iran will crumble.
And Parsi tweeted recently, he said this, Trump's fundamental misread of Iran is that he believed that the theocratic leadership would fear all the US aircraft carriers and their firepower, and as a result, opt to surrender.
It's the opposite.
They fear surrender far more than they fear war.
And I think that's an important insight, because the way that Trump operates, I mean, don't forget, when he did do the launch of the nuclear program recently, he came out immediately and said it's been obliterated.
I saw J.D.
Vance last week being asked, if it's been obliterated, why do you have to attack it again?
He really struggled with the answer.
But these attacks are far bigger.
These attacks are far bigger.
We've already seen
attacks on the intelligence headquarters, National Security Council, the Pasteur compound, where it's thought that both the president and the Supreme Leader Khamenei are thought to live.
We've seen an attack on the place where the former president is believed to live.
And we've also seen the response as well.
Qatar says it's thwarted a number of attacks on the American air base there.