Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Libraries Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Ryan Petersen

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2037 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Because how energy is upstream of everything, and more importantly, food, the fertilizer production coming out of that region.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

And it's planting season, so it's a very bad timing for the world's agricultural supply chains.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

But the Persian Gulf, from a container shipping standpoint, is a cul-de-sac.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

You don't need to go in there unless you're delivering to there.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

And there's only...

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

The stat that we're looking at is 0.6% of the world's container ships are currently stuck inside the straits.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

So it's kind of a rounding error.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

It's not a big deal for container shipping.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Now, fuel prices have gone up 87% for ocean bunker fuel, the fuel that powers the ship.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

So that's, you know, there's definitely, it's an energy story is what I would say rather than a container shipping story.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Yeah, it is.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

It is.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

As I said, the prices have gone up about 50%.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

And the United Airlines CEO said earlier this week or end of last week, he said that their modeling, the jet fuel price increases is going to cost them $11 billion.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Wow.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

And he said that in their best year ever at United, they made $5 billion in profit.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

Which tells you they're going to, the model basically says they have to increase plane ticket prices by 30% just to pay the fuel.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

So just to give you a sense of like how this is upstream of everything else.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

And that's really everything.

Prof G Markets
Is the Oil Crisis About to Break Global Supply Chains?

I mean, we don't think about it, but plastic is all made from petroleum products, like huge percent pharmaceuticals and healthcare, cosmetics, consumer goods, paint.