Ryan Sean Adams
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Christian, you mentioned those that are closest to kind of code will be hit first.
And maybe you're talking about developers.
It's unclear to me to what extent they have been hit so far.
I get the sense that maybe more junior level developers, there's less demand for them.
The senior level developers appear to be getting more productive on this technology.
So, you know, even that is sort of a mixed thing.
scenario.
It's not as if demand for developers has just dropped to zero.
And then there's some other tasks here in the economy, a doctor, a lawyer.
Some of these are, let's say, protected by almost credentialism and by government mandate.
And so they might be safer for a time.
And then there's also the argument that like, okay, I'm a lawyer and AI can never automate my task because there always has to be a human in the loop.
We have to have some level of human judgment.
I listed a bunch of things and I'm not sure to what extent some of these things are cope, just humans not being willing to sort of adapt to the future or like maybe another way to ask this is what do you think gets hit first by this AI automation wave and what gets hit hardest?
And I think everyone is asking like, am I safe?
Like who's safe here?
I think that's hard to reason about because maybe this is the first time that we've ever seen something akin to human cognition that is becoming cheaper over time and becoming far less scarce than it used to be.
I love the way your paper opens, which is kind of the historical landscape on 300,000 years of Homo sapiens.
where cognition really was the binding constraint for progress.
You said this in your thread, human cognition was the binding constraint.