Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Ryan Sean Adams

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
3095 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

Christian, you mentioned those that are closest to kind of code will be hit first.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

And maybe you're talking about developers.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

It's unclear to me to what extent they have been hit so far.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

I get the sense that maybe more junior level developers, there's less demand for them.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

The senior level developers appear to be getting more productive on this technology.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

So, you know, even that is sort of a mixed thing.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

scenario.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

It's not as if demand for developers has just dropped to zero.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

And then there's some other tasks here in the economy, a doctor, a lawyer.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

Some of these are, let's say, protected by almost credentialism and by government mandate.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

And so they might be safer for a time.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

And then there's also the argument that like, okay, I'm a lawyer and AI can never automate my task because there always has to be a human in the loop.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

We have to have some level of human judgment.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

I listed a bunch of things and I'm not sure to what extent some of these things are cope, just humans not being willing to sort of adapt to the future or like maybe another way to ask this is what do you think gets hit first by this AI automation wave and what gets hit hardest?

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

And I think everyone is asking like, am I safe?

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

Like who's safe here?

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

I think that's hard to reason about because maybe this is the first time that we've ever seen something akin to human cognition that is becoming cheaper over time and becoming far less scarce than it used to be.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

I love the way your paper opens, which is kind of the historical landscape on 300,000 years of Homo sapiens.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

where cognition really was the binding constraint for progress.

Bankless
The Economics of AGI: Why Verification Is the New Scarcity w/ Christian Catalini

You said this in your thread, human cognition was the binding constraint.