Ryan Sean Adams
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
But to your point, I think you're right.
He did not say that we're out in three weeks either.
Yes, I think boots on the ground by the end of this month, polymarket is giving a 60% chance.
All year, yeah.
Are the markets pricing that in?
I mean...
We can talk about the efficient market hypothesis.
The markets always price everything in, don't they?
They're super efficient all the time.
That's right.
The growing conversation is around midterms, the midterm elections that are coming up later this year.
So I think we have just under six months before the midterms start to become – are here.
And, I mean, who knows what Trump is thinking?
I certainly don't.
But it's –
to be argued that there's no way that Trump wants the Iran war at all to be proximate to the midterms.
He doesn't want that.
Now, does Trump always get what he wants?
Yeah.
So S&P dropped, futures dropped by half a percent.