Sam Altman

very tight feedback loop.

I think the theory does play a real role, of course, but continuing to learn what we learn from how the technology trajectory goes is quite important.

I think now is a very good time, and we're trying to figure out how to do this, to significantly ramp up technical alignment work.

I think we have new tools, we have new understanding, and there's a lot of work that's important to do.

So GPT-4 has not surprised me at all in terms of reception there.

ChatGPT surprised us a little bit, but I still was like advocating that we do it because I thought it was going to do really great.

So like, you know, maybe I thought it would have been like

the 10th fastest growing product in history and not the number one fastest.

I'm like, okay, you know, I think it's like hard.

You should never kind of assume something's going to be like the most successful product launch ever.

But we thought it was, at least many of us thought it was going to be really good.

GPT-4 has weirdly not been that much of an update for most people.

You know, they're like, oh, it's better than 3.5, but I thought it was going to be better than 3.5.

And it's cool.

But you know, this is like, someone said to me over the weekend,

you shipped an AGI and I somehow like, I'm just going about my daily life and I'm not that impressed.

And I obviously don't think we shipped an AGI, but I get the point and the world is continuing on.

I think there's like a bunch of interesting lessons from COVID and the UFO videos and a whole bunch of other stuff that we can talk to there.

But on the takeoff question, if we imagine a two by two matrix of short timelines till AGI starts, long timelines till AGI starts, slow takeoff, fast takeoff, do you have an instinct on what do you think the safest quadrant would be?

So the takeoff, we start the takeoff period.