Sam Altman

Yep.

Next year or in 20 years.

20 years.

And then it takes one year or 10 years.

Well, you can even say one year or five years, whatever you want for the takeoff.

So do I. Longer now.

I'm in the slow, take-off short timelines.

It's the most likely good world, and we optimize the company to have maximum impact in that world, to try to push for that kind of a world.

And the decisions that we make are... You know, there's like probability masses, but weighted towards that.

And I think...

I'm very afraid of the fast takeoffs.

I think in the longer timelines, it's harder to have a slow takeoff.

There's a bunch of other problems, too.

But that's what we're trying to do.

Do you think GPT-4 is an AGI?

So I think that GPT-4, although quite impressive, is definitely not an AGI.

But isn't it remarkable we're having this debate?

I think we're getting into the phase where specific definitions of AGI really matter.

Or we just say, you know, I know it when I see it, and I'm not even going to bother with the definition.

Like, if I were reading a sci-fi book and there was a character that was an AGI and that character was GPT-4, I'd be like, well, this is a shitty book.