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Sam Dickie

πŸ‘€ Speaker
267 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Yeah.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

I think that once they got those shackles off, it was just that after that, they went for broke.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And that's when they ran around securing as much compute as they could.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So remember the deal they did with Oracle, for example, they committed to $60 billion a year of operating costs over five years, $300 billion.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And at that time, they had about $15 billion of revenue.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So they really went for broke, getting their hands on as much compute as possible and

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And now they're listing at a very large valuation potentially.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

They raised, as I said, around at $125 billion of capital at sort of the thick end of a $750 billion valuation so that they're absolutely for profit now and they're going for broke.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

It absolutely does.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So if you add the three of them up and you go out to 2030, they're going to spend about a trillion dollars between them on capital expenditure.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

That's right.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And that is actually a last three years phenomenon.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So the burn rate is enormous.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Now, Anthropic, interestingly, and again, it tweeted or planted an article in the New

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

it may be profitable.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

We're not sure at which line level, EBITDA, EBIT, pre-tax profit in the June quarter.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Whereas OpenAI, its profit margins seem to be going backwards as it's front-loading a lot of compute.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So the burn rates are huge.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

The cash requirement is enormous.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So it's something to watch, I think.