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Sam Dickie

πŸ‘€ Speaker
267 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So you've seen soaring memory company valuations.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Take Korea, for example.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

samsung and hynix which are big memory players 55 of that stock market and there's a huge amount of retail frenzy in that market there's huge margin loans going on so you've got speculation you've got massive valuations you've got a narrowness of rally and then you've got you know enormous ipo valuations coming so there's a few signs there not all the signs are there but there's a few things going on that make you raise your eyebrows

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Well, it's interesting.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So one that wasn't there but is now emerging is everyone said back in the day, you know, Cisco traded at 100 times PE, for example.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And, you know, Google, Meta, Nvidia, you know, the companies, the big tech companies at the

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

You know, Apex are trading more like 20, 25 times PE, and they have big cash balances, so it's not there.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

But, you know, if you think about that memory bubble, for example, look at Intel.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

That's now trading on 100 times PE tick.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

You know, SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic will come at infinity times PE because they don't have any earnings.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So I think your black book is slowly getting ticked up and filled off.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Yep.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

I think for us, three pillars of investing are really important.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

the width of the moat or the sustainable competitive advantage, the length of the growth runway, and the people who run it.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So that is critically important.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

I'm not sure it gives you pause.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

On the positive side, he is the one guy on earth who can –

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

to genuinely solve extremely complex problems at scale rapidly.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And the key one they're trying to solve now for SpaceX is the cost per kilo to get mass into space.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So to give you an idea, pre-SpaceX, it costs $50,000 per kilo to get mass into space.