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Sam Dickie

πŸ‘€ Speaker
267 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Right now, depending on who you listen to, it's in the low thousands of dollars per kilo.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And the tipping point is SpaceX

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

hundred dollars per kilo so i'll tell you why that is is at the moment on earth it costs about 30 to 50 million dollars a megawatt to build a data center so you need you need land you need 55 rugby fields or eden parks to build the the huge scale data centers you obviously need the buildings and then you need to fill it up with really expensive nvidia gpu so that's about

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

$30 to $50 million a megawatt.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

If we get the cost of sending mass into space on rockets down to $100 a kilo, it will only cost about $10 to $15 million per megawatt to have a data center in space.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Land's way cheaper up there.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

You've got 24 hours a day sun with no filtering, no clouds.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So solar power is much cheaper.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So it does make economic sense to have data centers in space.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And there's no one on Earth really who can solve these problems

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

at scale, at pace, and the one person who can do it is Elon Musk.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

That's right.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

That's right.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And that's what they did early is they targeted that enterprise market, whereas a lot of the other large language models like ChatGPT and Gemini and others, Grok, were going after many different markets.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So OpenAI had its Sora product and Perplexity was going after the consumer.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And everyone sort of realized pretty quickly that the consumer is not prepared to pay for it.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

for the revenue required to pay off the huge invested capital.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So everyone's kind of changed or pivoted to the enterprise market.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

It just so happens that Anthropic via Claude got there much earlier and was much better positioned.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And its pace of model improvement is at least as good as the others.