Sam McDowell

So it's, like, exit velo, your launch angle.

And so it's like expected batting average and then the guys that would be on base and your expected ERA.

His expected ERA this year, his real ERA is 506.

His expected ERA is 3.83.

And so he's been very unlucky this year.

Last year he had a 264 ERA.

His expected ERA, 3.83.

The exact same thing as last year, and his ERA is two and a half runs different than it was.

And by the way, the further metrics, I mean, his expected batting average against is slightly better this year.

His expected slugging percentage against this year is significantly better this year, 328 as opposed to 388 last year.

And that's why I say I think there's some symbolism with the Royals season of like we expected the Royals to be a lot better and the results have been different in the process.

Yeah.

And when you look into it, I mean, so like last year he was in the top 15 percentile of luck.

This year he's in the bottom 10 percentile.

So it's really flipped.

Yeah.

There you go.

You could actually see after the dribbler down the line yesterday that he smirked.

And I think his thought in his mind is like, this again.

Here he comes.