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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Our great strength also used to be being at the head of innovation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So we're going to eliminate those things and think it's going to go well for us

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

They won't finish each other off.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

They're too big to be finished off.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Unless we do a nuclear war, then we might finish all of ourselves off.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Oh, I never said it would do that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

It's a question of if Putin feels that his back is up against the wall, it's what price.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

We don't really know the terms of their trade on what are the real energy prices that China's paying for all of this.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

I don't know.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Maybe some people do know, but I suspect that whatever the terms of trade are going to be, the Chinese are going to get a really good deal.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And then if Putin is really... In fact, if you look at what happened to Gorbachev at the very end of the Cold War...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So his internal situation, it's not he's not going to war with anyone, but his internal situation is devolving so rapidly because their economy collapses.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

He's already got no lousy oil prices.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

But in addition, he is so upset the centralized planning problem.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

so that revenues are just collapsing around him.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And he's about to be thrown out of power.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And so he is desperate for the kind of loans that the Germans in particular are willing to give him.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

in order to get not only Germany reunited, but West Germany stays in NATO.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Oh, and the next thing is East Germany is going to be in NATO too, and then NATO can have whoever.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Those things are trades he never would have made, ever.