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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Erich Honecker was already out of a job.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

His ruinous policies of living off debt since he came to power in 1971 had just about wrecked East Germany.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

So he was out.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And then less than two weeks later, the Council of Ministers resigns.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And then on November 8th, the Politburo resigns.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And then on the 9th, whatever's left of that government is issuing new travel regulations.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And you might wonder what's travel got to do with it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

I'll get there.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

So in response to a question at a news conference, this guy, Gunter Schabowski, who was one of the remaining communists helping run the show, he gets asked a question, doesn't know the answer, and so he wings it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And the question is, when do these travel regulations go into effect?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And he goes, immediately.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Well, crowds immediately started gathering at the six gates to the Berlin Wall.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And at one of them, the border guards decided that discretion was a better part of valor, and they opened the gate.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And East Germans poured into West Berlin.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And within the first week alone, over half of East Germany's population visited the West.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And within the month, 1% of the population emigrated to the West.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And like the Polish elections, this opening the gate was a pivotal decision.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

A pivotal decision, whatever it is, there's no going back to the way it was.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And here's good old Gunther going, gosh, we hadn't a clue that opening the wall was the beginning of the end of East Germany.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Okay, better luck next time.