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Sarah Paine

👤 Person
7698 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

That year, Mao just moves.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And he is roaring down south, and he's about to get the Yangtze River.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Stalin's like, hey, buddy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Take a break at the Yangtze.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Don't exhaust yourself.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Mao ignores it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Because whereas Stalin might have wanted to keep nationalist rump states south of the Yangtze River, yielding a divided China in keeping with weakening your neighbor, Mao is not remotely interested in that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And here's my 10th example, which is the Korean War.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

If you look at the Korean War, the first year is a war of movement.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

There's up and down, up and down the peninsula.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

It's unbelievable how much movement there is.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

But then it stalemates for the last two years.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And you think, well, what's going on?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Why don't they settle the war sooner?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Because both sides are taking incredible losses.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Well, here's how it goes.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Once China intervenes in the Korean War, and once they halt various offensives to start peace talks, the Chinese do incredible tunnel work, and probably the North Koreans as well, and build an incredible tunnel system.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So it means the South Koreans and the UN forces are never gonna get anywhere near the Soviet border ever again.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And from that moment on, Stalin thinks he's got a low-risk, high-reward strategy where he's going to weaken the United States and delay the rise of China.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So what's not to love about fighting to the last Chinese in Korea?