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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

I don't know why the Russians think they're so special.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Another false assumption.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Gorbachev believed that if the Warsaw Pact disappeared, the military alliance of the Eastern Bloc, if that disappeared, then NATO would disappear.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And that if the Comic-Con, which is their trading organization, if that goes away, then it's the European community in those days.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

It becomes the European Union later.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Anyway, that would disappear.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Not quite, because it turns out that organizations that are

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

coercive versus those that are voluntary, they dissolve for different reasons.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And then Gorbachev also assumed that the United States would share a continental outlook of not wanting strong powers and that the United States therefore would not want a unified Germany, let alone a strong unified Germany.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

So when all the unrest is happening in Germany, Gorbachev is off taking a vacation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Poor life choice, because at that moment, President George Bush Sr.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

and Chancellor Kohl of Germany are working on fast-tracking German unification of a fully sovereign, unified Germany, both halves in NATO.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

All right, so...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Many of Gorbachev's closest supporters at the end of it all blamed him.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

They said, look, his foreign policy mistakes were a function of his domestic policy mistakes, and it destroyed the Soviet Union.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And back to this America expert, Vladimir Lukin, Gorbachev was no Deng Xiaoping.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Okay.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And Arbatov, who's their premier America expert, the stupidity of our leaders caused the disintegration of the Soviet Union.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

So the big bozo was playing with plastic bags, stuck one on his head, committed suicide.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

It was by mistake.