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Sarah Paine

πŸ‘€ Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Tell me precisely why I'm here getting killed.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

The Russian soldiers had no buy-in.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

And you can ask, what exactly did the Russians want there?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Apparently, there were some royal...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

uh favorites who thought that they were going to get some lucrative timber concessions on the korean border okay let's go into logistics i've never heard there was a shortage of wood in european russia ever and then they're going to ship it all the way back

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

This is a non-performing economic model.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

In addition, Nicholas II is an incompetent czar.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

And he's hiringβ€”the guy who's running the Navy is also incompetent.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Their Navy gets no training whatsoever.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

So great, you have expensive ships, but no one's trained in how to use them, whereas the Japanese have.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

And the Japanese, it's the value of the object, one of these concepts.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

How valuable is it to win for Japan versus Russia?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Well, for Russia, it's already the biggest country in the planet, and there's nothing really that exciting out in Asia from their point of view.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Maybe for Nicholas, because he wants to be a great czar and add to the empire.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

That would be a nice thing.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

But when the Germans come after him in World War II, World War I, I think he's going to care about the other things more.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

So that's one for the Japanese, rightly or wrongly, their government and educated people consider it existential.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

And they're looking at China going, that's our future if we don't fix things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

And they're thinking the solution for Japan is empire because in those days, that seemed to be the way powerful countries ran things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine: How Imperial Japan Defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

So it's a combination of,