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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Person
7698 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

which that's when they make the big boo-boo in Afghanistan.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And they go into Afghanistan, and then all of a sudden we have loads of fun giving Stinger missiles to the other sides, inflicting costs on the Russians.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And the person who wanted to get into Afghanistan is Yuri Andropov, who was not a veteran.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

The uniformed military of Russia said, don't go into Afghanistan.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Well, Andropov and friends ignored it, did their thing.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

If you look at Putin, he has risen to power on a diet of hot wars.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

He comes to power in the early phase of the Second Chechen War, where he levels the Chechen capital of Grozny and leaves most of the rest of Chechnya an environmental waste zone.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

But he sorts that one out.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And then he gets quite popular for his war with Georgia in 2008, where he detaches South Ossetian Asia from Georgia.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Now he wants to build a naval base in Abkhazia because he's having trouble with his base on Crimea.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And then when he eliminates term limits for himself in 2012, which isn't very popular in Russia, he solves that by going into Ukraine in 2014 and walks off with about 7% of Ukrainian territory at very little cost.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Russians think that's great.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So if you look at these little stepping stones, this is the way continentalists look at it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

You've got all these little places lined up.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

You want to color it in.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And that's where Ukraine comes in in 2022.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So Putin wants to reverse all these territorial losses.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

He wants the green things and the purple things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

I don't know if he wants to do the Napoleonic Wars, I suppose, go all the way to Paris.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Who knows?