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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Okay, those are all radically different things, but you need to make up your mind what it's going to be.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

I think it's a miracle.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Well, A, okay.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

If you're going to have the win be that the United States transforms Japan into a functional democracy,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Or sets them on the road so that they will become them.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

If that's what the win is, no.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Because if you don't, I showed you the three horrible events in four days.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

That's quite incredible to have that much bad news happening in a half a week.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And that absolutely shattered the Japanese.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And it also opened the door for those who thought they were in crazy land to capitulate.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

If you don't do that, okay, we invade the home islands.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Americans were sick of the war.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And you start losing lots of American kids in Japan.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

I think at some stage we decide to pull them out of Japan and blockade them eternally.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And then you've got, I don't know, Japan is like a new North Korea, just this inevitable, this eternal non-functioning society.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

So no.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Mm-hmm.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

These wars are tragic.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And also don't think that you have all the cards that you're going to make the decisions about what's going to happen.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

The other side is going to put you into corners where you're going to choose from very unpleasant alternatives.