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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

But it meant when the Soviet Union shattered, there were plausible divisions already set up on an ethnic basis, and that is how you get places like Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, etc.,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

China's like, no way.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So this helps explain the genocide of the Uyghurs that's ongoing now.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

I think this is their rationale for doing it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And then what you want to do, and you can see Xi Jinping doing it, is you want to prioritize maintaining the monopoly of the Chinese Communist Party over economic efficiency when those two things run at cross purposes.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And that, I think, helps explain some of Xi Jinping's growth-depressing choices that he's making.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

What Gorbachev discovered when he tried to reform communism is that democracy and communism just don't mix.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

If you give people elections, they're going to support multiple parties.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Also, when the communist track record becomes known of incompetent economic management,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

summary executions, famines, just all the things that they've been up to.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

It's very hard for them to remain in power.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Also, as Gorbachev discovered, democracy and empire don't mix.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

When you give different minorities a choice of whether or occupy places, a choice to leave or stay, they bolt.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And there's a consensus among the Han, the preponderant ethnic group in China, that they want to maintain the empire.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So they don't care how many Tibetans immolate themselves, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

That's no longer going on now because the mortar has descended into Tibet.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And they don't care how many Mongols complain about lost lands.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

The Han want to keep it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Also, for the generation that survived the Cultural Revolution, which would be Xi Jinping, he's precisely that age group, they do not ever want to go back to the chaos, the Luan of the Cultural Revolution.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

It was horrendous.