Scott Alexander
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Elsewhere in prediction markets.
New York Magazine Profiles Polymarket founder Shane Coplin.
Quote, The only child of South African college professors, Coplin grew up living with just his mother.
He describes his father as a, quote, mad scientist who has studied panic disorder and depression.
His mum taught in the film departments at NYU and Columbia and cast young Shane in her own work.
End quote.
The obvious next question, is Copland Sr.
's work on panic disorder any good?
Answer, yes.
He co-published with Donald Klein, whose ventilatory hypothesis of panic revolutionized my understanding of the condition.
Great families theory undefeated.
Donald Trump's company Truth Social said in October that it's becoming the world's first social media platform offering prediction markets via a partnership with Crypto.com.
This isn't quite what I want.
I don't think users can create their own prediction markets, but it's a step forward.
Also, think about how much money someone's going to make by taking the pro-left-wing side on all those trades.
Three, you have five days left to submit your predictions in the ACX Metaculous 2026 Prediction Contest.
Forecasting Research Institute has established a longitudinal expert AI panel of scientists and forecasters to map changing expert opinion on AI over time.