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Scott Devitt

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
85 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

And then, you know, the harvest period on this spend is probably 27, 28.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

So you're looking at like a three-year horizon on these stocks.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

So investors are concerned about a few things.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

One is that the software companies are predominantly seat-licensed businesses.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

So to the extent that there's

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

fewer seats because there's less labor required as companies incorporate AI, then that's not good for the business models.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

In addition to that, though, it's that AI itself with some of the features that, that Claude, um, which is Anthropix, you know, product has been launching displaced the software companies themselves.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

I think that, um,

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

I think there's some justification to it, you know, for why the multiples have come down.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

But I think what you're going to find is, you know, this industry is changing, evolving.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

You're going to have some Macy's border circuit cities that get

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

cleansed through the system because they weren't great businesses to begin with.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

And then you're going to have some software companies that incorporate AI features and functionality that validate their competitive position and do quite well.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

But again, you're looking at probably a one to three year period of investors figuring that out.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

Right now, the initial response is sell everything.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

And then I think investors will parse through it and then you'll get winners and losers.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

So it's gonna be a different software world, you know, in the future, but it doesn't mean that they're all losers.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

Well, you know, the market hates uncertainty.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

So there's, it's been many years since we've had this level of uncertainty in so many of these companies in terms of what the future holds.

Prof G Markets
Google Doubles Down on Spending as AI Fear Returns

We had a good 10, 15 years where all the same companies went up on every single day and everybody knew who the winners were.