Scott Tinker

speaker
207 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard May 2025 last heard May 2025

Scott Tinker’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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50, 50, 50.
We can do that. Yeah. And this is what Toby Rice and I have started, the Energy Core, C-O-R-P-S, to try to do that very thing, is to not get mud huts and light bulbs, to literally help everybody who's doing great work in this area, lift the world into prosperity. Let's go. What's stopping that?
Right.
Yes. And who won? Inflation adjusted. Less. Right.
Early.
1.2.
India went below 2.1 last year, India. Now the population will grow there, that's math. But eventually India peaks and China said, three kids. Will financially incentivize you to have kids? And the kids are saying, no. Yeah. This is big stuff. Yeah, that's for sure. I'd love to be alive in 2075 and be able to sort of see how we start to find things. If growth isn't the measure of good, what is?
How does a generation of young people take care of us oldies for the next 50 years? Because there's more of us than them in rich societies.
Or he's having enough kids too.
But in poor societies, it's young. There's a population pyramid. It's young, poor societies, and they die. Yeah. Maybe into the 50s. And then you get into these moderate societies, wealthy. And in rich societies, the whole thing inverts. We're old. We're toppling over because of this very issue. And this is non-trivial stuff. That's really important.
Especially if you have to put a time term on it.
Working Group 1, which is kind of the technical group that looks at the models and some of the outcomes of those things. Working Group 1, Chapter 12. Then you expand all sections and go to Table 12.12 and this big thing. You showed me that. There's a table here. And I have a lot of respect for the IPCC for publishing this table.
Because... It shows with the highest degree of confidence, which is hard, statistically highest degree of confidence, what are the impacts, the extreme weather impacts that have emerged from the historical past so far? And the past being 100 years, because that's how far we can measure it, or less. Right. Of all these things... What has emerged from the past so far?
In Jordan, there's only three things. It's gotten warmer, the oceans have gotten warmer, and one other thing.
Yeah, and then they run it to 2050 and 2100, the composite models. In the worst warming scenario, RCP 8.5, The worst, no climate scientists really think that's gonna happen, but let's run the worst. What's gonna emerge? Not much more emerges.
And by 2100, so if you look at the white space in that table, and again, you bring the degree of confidence lower, stuff could start to emerge with a 50-50 or 70% or 30% confidence. But when you're up there, what's really emerged with high, high confidence There's a ton of white space in that table. It's really important to understand.
I'm not saying that... I don't think that... I think humans have helped to warm the planet some. I think CO2 and methane have done that. 280 parts per million up to 430.
And it's greener, it's food. There's pros and there's trade-offs for everything. Of course. Everything in the world has trade-offs, okay? And change has costs, right?
Any rapid transformation... Change scares people. Yeah, and it disrupts ecosystems and... But this table says to me, hey, young people especially, it's not an existential threat. Humans aren't gone in 15 years. There's some time in here to think wisely, do wisely, react wisely. And then you compound that with the population demographics.
And our energy access and lifting the world all up from poverty so they don't remain anchored down here. Seven billion people and we're over here. That doesn't end well, Jordan. No, no, that's right. That never ends well. You look at any historical country region in the world and you're growing disparity.
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