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Sebastian Siemiatkowski

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1197 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

What's going to happen is people are going to start solving that problem.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

How do I get all of my data from the existing vendor and move it to the new vendor with the help of AI through one click?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

That brings down switching cost, and that's when the real threat to SaaS comes.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

I think the stock market woke up to that in the last few weeks, right?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

It's not like any business is going to disappear overnight because people tend to stick.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

They have used these things for a long period of time.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

They like them, etc.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

The question is, at what multiples should they trade?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

And if you look at historically, software could trade at a price to sales.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

I'm not going to talk price to earnings because some of them are unprofitable, so it's not an easy way to compare.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

But if you do price to sales, they've been trading at 20, 30.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

And now they're down at 5, 10.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

But if you look at utilities, normal companies that are more utility, they may trade at 1 to 2.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

So from that perspective, you would argue there is still some unfortunate potential to come down even further.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

Look at Chegg.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

In the US, right, they're now trading at 0.2.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

ChatGPT was seen as basically wiping out their business a few years, and now they're trading at a depressed value.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

And now the revenue is also coming down actually 34% last time I checked.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

Is that going to happen?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

I don't think so.