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Simon Belanger

👤 Speaker
7390 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

Yeah.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

So I would say that you are correct.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

Like it would be reasonable to assume that you would continue to see downward pressure on, on rents, or at least like they will, like eventually they'll get to a point where a new household formation becomes popular or possible.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

People feel compelled to maybe like, you know, people who are staying in their parents' basement or, you know, whatever, like decided not to go rent a place, maybe roommates, roommates was for a period of time, the fastest growing household type in Canada.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

Yeah.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

you know, those, when does it become economical for those households to actually go and do new household formation?

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

And that's when you start like maybe seeing rents floor a little bit.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

We, I don't think we've seen it yet.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

Right.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

And like, you can see, I have this chart up here that shows condo starts versus rental housing starts in Canada.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

And like the, and this is indexed to 2005, but like, even if I go do that, just like dual access, you can see basically like your condo starts have dropped substantially and your rental starts are hitting all time highs.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

So,

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

You know, programs, and this is more of that fiscal side that I mentioned, like programs like CMHC, MLI Select, which gives large landlords the ability to take on 50-year mortgages and buy down their monthly debt service, which increases their net yield, right?

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

Or their net, yeah, like I guess the ability...

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

Reduces their burden on their debt service coverage ratio.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

So it allows them to make worse deals, cashflow, basically.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

It's gotten a lot of, as a result of the taxpayer insuring these loans, it's gotten a lot of supply created and that's going to drive rents and prices down.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

Yeah, I did.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

That was a curve ball.

The Canadian Investor
New Fed Chair, Loonie Slides & Canada’s Population Keeps Falling

I didn't even know that one.