Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Sir Niall Ferguson

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
435 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

And this was a recurrent theme right the way through into the Obama administration.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

And it was a theme in Trump 1.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

the first series just as it is now and to answer your first question why did this go on for so long the answer is because every president from nixon down to obama did nothing really beyond say please do more they didn't actually apply any pressure to the europeans and the europeans

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

realized that they had a peace dividend that was being paid annually from the minute the Soviet Union collapsed.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

So the defense budgets went down well below 2% of GDP in the majority of NATO countries.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

Now, Trump discovered that if you actually get serious and apply pressure and make it seem like you might withdraw from NATO, you got the Europeans' attention.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

And I think it's important for us to give Trump and Vance credit where it's due.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

In the space of two weeks,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

With the most obvious example being Vance's speech at the Munich Security Council.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

But yeah, the encounter with Zelensky in the Oval Office was equally important.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

In just two weeks, they completely worked the Europeans up in a way that no president has been able to do since the 1960s.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

And in that sense, he's making Europe great again.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

There's no question about that.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

And he's addressing this longstanding American grievance.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

The European defense budgets were already going up, were majority above 2%.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

But what's really interesting here, Azeem, is that the Germans...

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

are now seriously going to invest hundreds of billions of euros in defense and infrastructure.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

And at the same time, at the European Union level, the Commission is going to launch some multi-billion dollar fund for European-wide rearmament.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

So that's a win for Trump, and it's a meaningful win, but it's also a win for Europe.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Sir Niall Ferguson decodes Trump, China, and the new world order

I did an interview for Die Zeit last week, and I said, you know, you all hate him, but this is actually really good for you.