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Steve Saretsky

👤 Speaker
2315 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

They can control the short end of the curve unless the market brings rates through the curve.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

We talked about that a few minutes ago.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

But, I mean, think about it.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

In 2022, again, the 10-year bond went from 1% to 4%.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

They've got everyone on variable rate or 5-year mortgage rates.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

You know, some people got rates at, what, less than 1%, Steve, and 21%.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So my response is, you know, the question is, well, you know, will governments not let rates go higher?

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

You know, by default, they should have said back then, okay, this is it.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Rates are never going higher.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

And what's the five-year mortgage rate now?

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Yeah, so people have gone from sub-one to four and a half.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

They're not going to be able to control everyone.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

You're going to get a little break.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So what we know that will absolutely happen, and I think this is your question, Steve, where you're guiding it, is that central banks, including the Bank of Canada and the Squirmer, we haven't mentioned him for a while, Rich, they're going to bail out Ottawa Bank.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

every single time they have to.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

And the Fed will bail out Washington.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

The Bank of England will bail out those guys and so forth.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So they'll print money, do QE to buy government bonds.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

And they bailed out the provincial bond market as well during COVID.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

But then they can't go into the corporate bond world or credit markets.