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Steve Saretsky

👤 Speaker
2315 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

That's the second, third, fourth move.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Not in the U.S.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

dramatically.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So again, the Canadian corporate bond world is very small.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

But in the U.S.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Yes, but they'll bail out the government side first.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Remember, the pandemic is an incredibly different experience than what's happening now.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

You have demand versus supply for the whole world.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So it's like a mirrored image of what took place, what's happening now.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So back then, supply got squeezed because people weren't allowed to work, but everyone still got paid.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So the demand stays incredibly high.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

And now you sort of have the opposite happening.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

People aren't getting paid as much to work as they were before.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Layoffs are happening.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

We've had this week in the tech world in the US, like tens of thousands of layoffs were announced.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

And prices are going higher.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So it's just a different experience.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

But the initial reaction, you know, again, for everyone, the initial reaction, the central bank will bail out the government bond market.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

But risk is going to shift over to the corporate bond world.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So if you're holding your private credit fund and you think you're going to have 5% liquidity,