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Steven Bartlett

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
13838 total appearances
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The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

And the thing, the principle there that allows you to see what the future might look like when it's exponential and not linear is imagining any rate of improvement.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

And so this is how I think always in my business is when I'm thinking about which bet to make, I imagine if there's just 5% rate of improvement per quarter, eventually this happens.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

And so with...

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

Some things we've done on the show, we started two years ago and for the first 18 months, it didn't work.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

And then six months ago, it exploded because eventually the rate of improvement got to the point where it was viable.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

And now it's the single most important disruptive thing we've ever done.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

And I think about the example I just gave there of agents.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

I'm like, if you just imagine any rate of improvement, just imagine 1% a year.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

And obviously it's way more than that, but imagine 1% a month.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

But you're not saying that AI is going to disappear?

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

The numbers are astronomically out of balance.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

So what happens next?

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

You're predicting in 2029, there's a financial crash.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

So let's talk about in a world of AI, what are the skills that survive?

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

And what are the professions that you believe survive?

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

You've got children, Daniel.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

When they come to you and they say, Dad, I'm hearing about all this AI stuff and I've seen these robots in China doing backflips.

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

What should I be learning now to make sure that the next 20, 30, 40 years of my career is prosperous?

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

And on that first point of identifying a good idea,

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Daniel Priestley: Plumbers Will Earn More Than Lawyers! I Predicted 2008, Now I'm Warning About 2029

Now, is there any way to know if the idea that I have is a good idea or a bad idea?