Toby Howell

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Time to dust off your middle school science textbooks because El Nino is almost certainly coming back this year.

The United Nations Weather Agency announced yesterday that there's an 80% chance El Nino forms before September, mirroring other forecasts.

It's likely going to be an intense one, too.

According to the U.S.

Climate Prediction Center, there's a two-thirds chance it evolves into an extra-strong version of the naturally occurring event, known colloquially as Super El Nino.

You've no doubt heard of El Nino before, but what exactly is it and why should you care?

Think of it as a really loud, auto-tuned karaoke microphone for the climate.

It amplifies and warps weather patterns across the globe.

The defining characteristic is a warming of the Pacific Ocean, which disrupts fishing off the coast of South America and leads to wetter, stormier weather across the southern U.S.

and South America and drier, warmer weather in the PNW, Australia, and Southeast Asia.

And when you get a super El Nino, everything is amplified further.

UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres described it as pouring fuel on the fire of a warming world.

And that's exactly where the danger lies.