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Tom Bilyeu

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
9026 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

He's like, in today's world, why are we using this super outdated system?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

There's ways to get this data in real time.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So that's what Truflation does.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

And theoretically, this allows them to measure housing, for instance, more realistically, and they can skip the outdated tricks of like, well,

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

We see this little thing over here and because we don't have enough data, we run this fancy math equation and we think that this is what it's gonna be.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So they don't have to do that.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

They're just looking at way more data points.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

And by bypassing the outdated tricks that often make official CPI numbers look hotter and are definitely farther behind, they're hopefully able to get closer to the on the ground reality.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

Truflation's primary index calculates their number by comparing the current cost of a basket of goods this is what people normally do with CPI to the same day one year ago so that's what these numbers are so we went from I think 1.7 to 1.55 but it's year over year and they're updating daily with real-time data from over 13 million items across various sources while users can derive month over month or other intervals from the underlying data the headline percentage that Truflation

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

is talking about right now that's on their dashboard is in fact year over year.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So this is very encouraging.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

And ultimately, for context, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, official CPI for December of 2025 was 2.7 year over year.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So Truflation's index aims to predict and track in real time, getting you something that's better.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So I don't know that, I don't think the right way to look at that is like, well, my God, we've had this huge fall off.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

It's that their methodology and the more frequent updates is just more accurate.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So assuming that Truflation's real-time data is actually showing us

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

better numbers, which again is 1.55% year over year as of January 16th, 2026.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

If that accurately reflects the economy more than the Bureau of Labor Statistics lagging 2.7, this could signal that inflation is cooling faster than official metrics suggest.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

And here's what that might imply for anybody that's asking, like, is Trump's economy actually working?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So based on their key pillars, tariffs, tax cuts, deregulation, energy independence, and immigration restrictions, where is this going?