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Tom Bilyeu

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
9026 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

And if this data can be believed, that strategy is actually driving inflation down, which is incredible.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

Now, some of the deflation, though, could possibly be coming from the economy

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

finally breaking, not in a good way, but just we've been talking about that for a long time.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So I think you're gonna hear increasingly people talking about that we're in a recession.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So of course, prices are gonna be coming down.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So you always have to be careful.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

Deflation can be crisis-led deflation, or it can be increased productivity causing price to go down.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

Meaning the easiest way to get housing prices to come down is to lower the cost of, sorry, to make more houses.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

And you can, however, get housing prices to drop by having mass defaults like we had in the 2008 collapse.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So nobody but investors are going to say that 2008 was great for basically everybody.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

It was a catastrophe that spread all around the world.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So but both of those things, increasing the housing supply will lower the price and causing a catastrophic debt default will also cause housing prices to go down.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So understanding the mechanisms that are working are very, very important.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

And I don't think we have enough clarity on that yet, but certainly you can expect some victory laps from the Trump administration.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

And honestly, hopefully it's true.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

Love or hate Trump, we should all want this to be deflationary or a reduction in inflation because 1.55 is still theft, but it's less, thankfully.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So hopefully that is a decline based on the strategies actually performing.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

So fingers crossed.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

Okay.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
China Moves In, Billionaire Exodus, and the Minnesota Insurrection: Are We Headed for Collapse? | Tom Bilyeu Show

The next beat that I want to talk about though, and this is far more interesting if we could, and let me know if you need the number or if you already know what this one is.