Tom Bilyeu
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Everyone screaming about inflation right now is looking at the wrong instrument.
The commentators calling for dollar collapse, dollar debasement, dollar destruction, they're also looking at the wrong instrument.
A rising dollar is not debasement, it's the opposite.
A rising dollar in the Eurodollar market means the global system is screaming for dollars and can't get enough of them.
It means credit is contracting.
It means money, real money, Eurodollar money, the kind that moves the world,
is disappearing faster than it's being created.
So you can get this weird cognitive dissonance while the Fed in the US is printing like crazy, but the Eurodollar market is contracting.
And you've got to look at both.
And depending on how you're allocated, it may have one impact on you or the other.
And depending on what system it's in will determine how amplified the effect becomes.
Now, what's happening right now in the Eurodollar market is deflation.
Not the deflation of falling prices on a grocery store shelf, the deflation of the monetary engine itself now running in reverse.
And here's what makes that so dangerous at this specific moment.
The system was already fragile before the war because of the private credit market.
The war amplified existing stress.
The dollar transition regime is now amplifying it even further.
These three things are not adding together, they're multiplying.
We're not watching a bad week for gold.
We're watching the early signal of a system under the kind of compounding pressure that historically does not resolve smoothly, which means the only question that actually matters right now is given all of this uncertainty and potential compounding effect, what do I do about it when there are more threats on the horizon?