Tom Bilyeu

As we've seen so many repressive regimes either have to flee the country or they get assassinated.

So I think that's the calculus that they're running in the back of their minds.

And so they don't wanna be a puppet to the US.

And if you're watching Venezuela and you see that's exactly what they did to Venezuela and you think,

That's not what I want to happen here.

We're not only a proud people because I imagine the Venezuelans are proud, but we're not only a proud people, but we have far more military might and we are willing to fight over this stuff.

So I think we're seeing something more like that.

Now, in terms of what's the how do you extricate yourself from a military that is decentralized?

I am going to guess here, but my mental map of Trump goes something like this.

He cannot see past negotiations.

So I think he's trying to hurt them to the point that they'll come to the negotiating table.

I'm just not sure who he thinks is going to come to the negotiating table.

So I think ultimately he has some vague sense.

And by the way, I say this to entrepreneurs all the time.

Emotions will make dots feel like they connect that don't actually connect.

So in Trump's mind, I'm sure it feels like he doesn't sit there and map out every beat of all this.

It just feels like, yes, we'll bomb them into pain and suffering.

and they will then come to the table and then nobody pushes him to say who's going to come to the table.

And if they do push him that far, he's going to say something like, well, whoever they elect to be supreme leader, I'm not there for regime change.

I hope that the Iranian people rise up.