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Tom Bilyeu

πŸ‘€ Speaker
26465 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

After the 2008 financial crisis, regulators told banks never again.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

They imposed strict new rules known as Basel III that essentially forced banks to stop making these risky ass loans.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

Problem solved, right?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

not even close.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

The risky lending didn't stop, it just moved somewhere the regulators couldn't see it.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

The goal of Basel III was to make it expensive and difficult for banks to lend to mid-sized companies, the businesses too big for a local bank, but too small to issue public bonds.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

Private credit funds stepped in to fill that gap.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

They raise money from big investors, pension funds, insurance companies, wealthy individuals.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

They then pool it and lend it out to these companies at higher interest rates than banks would charge.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

For a while, this worked great.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

Companies got funding, investors got high yields, and because the loans were held by sophisticated institutional players with long time horizons, the illiquidity wasn't actually a problem.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

It went wrong when three things happened together.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

One, the market exploded in size, the aforementioned $500 billion to $2 trillion plus in just five years.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

With that much money pouring in, lending standards just dropped.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

Also, lenders have to put the money raised to work.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

They have that obligation.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

But they quickly ran out of good borrowers and just started lending to riskier ones.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

Remember the ultra-toxic subprime mortgages that almost destroyed the global economy?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

That's exactly what subprime meant.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Same System That Crashed the Economy in 2008 Is Running Again β€” And It's Already Inside Your Retirement Account | Tom Bilyeu Deepdive

It's a nice way of saying people banks really should never have lended money to.