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Tom Bilyeu

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
9026 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Let's get into it.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

silver has another property that parallels america's need for money printing its demand is shockingly inelastic in the short term when silver prices spike factories don't shut down they don't say well i guess we'll just stop making solar panels or semiconductors medical equipment or power electronics what they say instead is we're gonna pay more to keep the wheels turning because

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

For most of the technologies that matter, silver isn't a nice to have, it is a functional requirement.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

You can't substitute it away quickly.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

And in many cases, you can't substitute it at all without redesigning entire systems.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

That means price does not ration demand the way people intuitively expect.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Shortages don't destroy demand.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

They transfer pain from consumers to corporate margins.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

And that's exactly the kind of setup that breaks paper markets when physical supply gets tight.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Now, here's where it gets even more dangerous.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Most people assume that if silver prices rise, miners will simply produce more silver.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

But that assumption is wrong.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Roughly 70 to 75% of all silver produced globally

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

is not mined for the silver itself.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Silver is a byproduct.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

It's pulled out of the ground incidentally while mining other metals like copper, lead, zinc, and gold.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

That means the silver supply does not respond cleanly to silver prices.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

If copper demand is weak, copper miners don't ramp production just because silver is expensive.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

If zinc or lead projects get delayed, silver supply stalls out right along with them, regardless of silver's price.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Now, look at US debt through that same lens.