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Tom Bilyeu

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
9026 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Even if the appetite for US debt goes down and people no longer want to buy it, which the US requires to keep making the interest payments on the debt it has already accumulated.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Yes, that is more Ponzi-nomics, but it's nonetheless true.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

And that doesn't mean that the US can just stop making interest payments.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Those are going to continue.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

They are inelastic.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

And therefore, the US's need to print money will be inelastic if it can't find buyers for its debt.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Doesn't matter.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

They have to keep paying.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

And anyone paying attention to silver and the slow death of the paper era know that and will seek alternatives.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

once again hastening the demise of the dollar as the world's reserve currency.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

Because if you hold an asset that's being inflated through money printing, its value is guaranteed to go down.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

It just becomes a question of how fast.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

People mistakenly assume that because the US prints the world's reserve currency, that we have an infinite get out of jail free card.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

The logic goes something like,

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

If demand for our debt dries up, we'll just print more money to cover the shortfall.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

But in reality, while printing money might bridge the gap in the short term, it makes people flee the dollar that much faster.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

This is known as the death spiral of confidence.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

When you print money to pay for your debt, you're effectively diluting the value of every dollar already in existence.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

And investors aren't stupid.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
The Silver Shock: How China Just Changed the Global Game and Put the Dollar at Risk | Tom's DeepDives

As soon as they see the Fed is essentially the only buyer of US Treasuries, they realize the safe haven isn't safe anymore.