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Tom Gardner

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
663 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

We have to move.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

Yeah, so I use two market indicators primarily to guide my thinking.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

And I really am using market indicators to tilt, not to go all in, you know, or exit entirely the market.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

I just don't think that way.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

I think the history of people who made extreme calls, of course, they're going to get some right.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

But in general, they actually...

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

At best, they're net neutral, and they probably cause a lot of tax implications for people.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

I think what we should be teaching investors worldwide is to be more incremental and to recognize that the equity markets go up over time.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

There can be some bad stretches.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

We could take some extreme cases like Japan since 1989, so I don't want to generalize too much or oversimplify this, but I think in a market that's

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

dynamic like the u.s market has good regulatory standards and there isn't a lot of inside baseball dealings between boards and executives all protecting each other so we have a really competitive market in the us and so i think i would look at the market and say of course they're going to be 40 declines at certain points along the way so i i would definitely want to work back from a 40 decline with my investment portfolio and ask you know what will that mean for me in my life

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

If I have a million dollars in this portfolio and it goes down 40%, I'm down at 600,000.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

Like that is a horrible experience to have.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

Most people, the idea of losing $400,000 in your lifetime.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

But as you get older and move closer to retirement, you have more and more people who have a million dollar portfolio.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

And also they're starting to run out of their income years.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

So those 40% declines can have a much more profound effect on their lifestyle and their quality of their life.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

Of course, there was the Great Depression, but I think we have a lot more protections, a lot more solidity and dynamism to our market that 40% is a good one to work off of.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

So then I, tracking back from that, I use my two market indicators.

Motley Fool Money
2 Go-To Market Indicators, 6 Stock Ideas for the Next 5 Years

The first is the potential growth indicator, the PGI, and the second is our market view tool, which is AI-powered.