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Tom Schmidt

👤 Speaker
291 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

You know, it's sad to see, you know, Powell out.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

Yeah, and I think specifically people who miss the good afternoon instead of the good day with Warsh.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I don't know.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I think, you know, it's still very early.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

And ultimately, like what we've seen from FedChairs in the past is really where they kind of show their true character is when there's a crisis and that's when they decide what to do.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

Obviously, Bernanke very famous with 08, Powell with COVID.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

And so, you know, I think I've seen some

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

charts fling around where you look at not not dot pop but like banking analysts projections of you know several years out of interest rate and it's basically always wrong because there's always some exogenous event that that ultimately ends up affecting Fed policy and that's really the moment when these things kind of kind of matter so

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I don't know.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I think we got a few more years and a few more maybe hectic events before we see how good Warsh is.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I have less of a read.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I will say on the data front, I was always under the assumption that really the Fed was maybe the most authoritative, the most accurate source when it comes to looking at these different measures of inflation or inflation that they obviously use to influence policy.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I was talking to Tarun Chitra from Gauntlet and Robot, who's a co-host on my podcast a while ago, and

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

He was shitting on the Fed's, you know, data efforts.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

He said they actually have, like, incredibly poor data infrastructure.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

And it's like, you know, these private market investors have, like, you know, way more sophisticated models for CPI.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

So maybe the answer is he's trying to turn the Fed AI native or something like that.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I don't know.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

Maybe that's favorable.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

That may still happen.