Trita Parsi

But keep one thing in mind.

One of the demands of the Europeans to the Iranians in order for the snapback not to be completely fulfilled again, there's a 30-day window here, is that they restart negotiations with the Trump administration on the nuclear issue.

If Trump's view is that this is already resolved, then why are the Europeans then pushing for the talks to restart, particularly mindful of the fact that Secretary...

our Secretary of State is actually endorsing and pushing the Europeans to do this.

So my concern is that this is going to create this type of a need for quick negotiations when neither side is ready.

There is no appetite for compromise on either side.

It will fail, and then the push will be because of the talks having failed, you have to go back to take military action.

So what should we look for in the next 30 days?

Yeah, so one thing I want to add about the considerations of the Europeans, because I think we have to be a little bit careful.

Yes, 20 years ago when the Europeans stepped into this, they actually did it.

And I want to give them credit for it because the Bush administration went into Iraq.

It was a disastrous war.

It was a huge mistake.

And the Europeans wanted to prevent the war to extend into Iran and having a complete regional war.

And that's why they created this whole constellation of the E3.

Today, however, the geopolitical circumstances have shifted.

The European calculations have shifted.

On the one hand, they don't need Iran in any way, shape, or form any longer because they're no longer buying Iran.

All of these sanctions have led to a situation in which there's no economic interdependence whatsoever between Europe and Iran.

So Iran is not that important.